Before we get to the Texans and Raiders, I’ve got to make two points: 1) I’m so glad TCU is joining the Big 12. I wish the conference could take the University of Houston, too. 2) I’m hoping that Stephen F. Austin and Sam Houston State break the conference record for attendance of 27,500. They drew 24,685 to Reliant Stadium last year, and they’re hoping to set a record Saturday. Lumberjacks and Bearkats from the area should check out their annual grudge match, the Battle of the Piney Woods.Also, check out the replay from my chat earlier today and watch the newest Radio Faces videos with me and N.D. Kalu. And check back tomorrow for the final two episodes, including our picks for this Sunday.Now, on to the Texans and Raiders at Reliant Stadium.The Texans don’t need Andre Johnson to beat Oakland. They proved that the last two times they played the Raiders, both victories, including last season at Oakland 31-24.The Texans have to run the ball against the Raiders, and they have to stop the run.The Texans are fourth in rushing, averaging 148.5 yards a game. The Raiders are first, running for 178.8 yards a game. The Texans are tied for 18th against the run, allowing 108.8, including 4.9 per carry. The Raiders are 29th against the run, surrendering 136, including 5.9 per carry.Just as the Raiders are going to focus on stopping Arian Foster, the Texans will concentrate on containing Darren McFadden, who has 468 yards and averages 6.2 per carry. He also leads them with 15 catches for 132 yards.When McFadden runs, he reminds me of Eric Dickerson, Eddie George and Chuck Muncie. He’s almost 6-3. He runs straight up, but he’s not an easy target. He’s got speed like Dickerson and power like George. He explodes through holes and turns the corner in a hurry. The key is to get to him before he gets going.If Jason Campbell completes some passes down the field, it might help McFadden get started. Campbell has been sacked two times in four games. They have a plus-9 sack differential.Just about everybody thinks the Texans will focus on the run. Why shouldn’t they? Even New England ran for 185 yards against the Raiders. But don’t rule out Matt Schaub having a big day. He has seven touchdown passes and three interceptions. He’s got Owen Daniels, one of the league’s premier tight ends. Jacoby Jones had 10 catches for 185 yards in two starts last season in place of Johnson. One reason Jones and Kevin Walter don’t get targeted more is because they’re playing with the NFL’s best receiver. Now they won’t be. I’m picking the Texans 24-20.
